Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3effc8dfc83dc3eba52896193a56b8bc8cc5345a8ff63a98224d218824cc0678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof BBL Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x338c…1b33backed BBL Esports | 29c | 2,226$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 67c | 1,536$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.04 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked NRG | 63c | 1,069$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.73 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed BBL Esports | 38c | 604.33$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed BBL Esports | 35c | 565.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked BBL Esports | 9c | 505.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 64c | 395.39$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BBL Esports | 38c | 357.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG | 57c | 333.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG | 59c | 322.68$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked BBL Esports | 23c | 301.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BBL Esports | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed BBL Esports | 7c | 285.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed BBL Esports | 34c | 279.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…58cebacked NRG | 77c | 276.35$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 73c | 275.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed NRG | 59c | 268.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce93…dd28backed BBL Esports | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BBL Esports | 44c | 229.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 71c | 223.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…f541backed NRG | 60c | 215$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed BBL Esports | 42c | 212.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed BBL Esports | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…2584backed BBL Esports | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…5d0bbacked NRG | 60c | 188$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…5e2dbacked NRG | 60c | 181$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed BBL Esports | 41c | 180.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ac…e67ebacked BBL Esports | 40c | 178$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…ec37backed BBL Esports | 40c | 161$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed BBL Esports | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed NRG | 69c | 145.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BBL Esports | 41c | 142.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed BBL Esports | 13c | 131.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed BBL Esports | 41c | 122.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked NRG | 77c | 109.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NRG | 66c | 83.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked BBL Esports | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed BBL Esports | 43c | 60.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BBL Esports | 37c | 59.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed NRG | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed BBL Esports | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked NRG | 59c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…817cbacked NRG | 76c | 33.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NRG | 71c | 32.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb794…0aa5backed BBL Esports | 37c | 26.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked NRG | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed NRG | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked NRG | 77c | 13.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)BBL Esports won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.