Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee8d15d2f1ef637d5fafabc729a0531ec757bbf99b3f58fb5bf6a37be3f8a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BBL Esportsof NRG, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,549 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5a7…cb35backed NRG | 34c | 464$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…607fbacked NRG | 34c | 411$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…73dcbacked BBL Esports | 66c | 262$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…6559backed BBL Esports | 66c | 259$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…7db3backed BBL Esports | 66c | 234$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…01eabacked BBL Esports | 66c | 232$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…b1f1backed NRG | 34c | 230$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…1e97backed NRG | 34c | 229$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked BBL Esports | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked NRG | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…dab5backed BBL Esports | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf446…3f49backed BBL Esports | 66c | 147$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed NRG | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BBL Esports | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…2907backed NRG | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.