Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba3117a6e45ca58af94ca8fc60036b2636a0e34645f9df80f1faf0b0ec4236e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 4,074$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Yes | 1c | 3,002$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 28c | 2,800$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 72c | 2,500$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,214$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,057$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 986.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 28c | 860.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed Yes | 28c | 596$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 591.07$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 2c | 499.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 73c | 499.96$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 29c | 314.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 73c | 287.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 28c | 279$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 22c | 225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 22c | 184$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked No | 74c | 168.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 166.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 73c | 163.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 134$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…70d9backed No | 74c | 129.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…6022backed No | 74c | 109.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 26c | 105.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…2329backed No | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…017cbacked No | 74c | 89.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 87.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 74.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 28c | 71.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 73c | 67.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 229 | 61.6%141 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…6956backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 59.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 27c | 58.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…9f95backed No | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 24c | 56.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1435…cbfcbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 77c | 48.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cd28backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…e71ebacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 72c | 25.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 73c | 20.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…f9b5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…3b5bbacked No | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…8d2fbacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.