TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Yes57c19,184$10,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.218447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No43c17,700$7,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6113351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No43c7,233$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.31010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-80%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c5,963$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.81,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c3,944$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.2971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.652080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No44c2,352$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.0710752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c1,976$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.181,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6603655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes79c1,140$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No44c1,100$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4888976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xef72…5295backed Yes79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes6c677$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.382630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+204.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes57c559.64$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.651283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes55c505.45$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.516553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes57c456.14$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…e109backed No75c294.88$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes56c270$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No44c246.83$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2123151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No28c237.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4412343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d0…d107backed No45c212.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed No8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes58c196.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.551241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413946.2%18 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c171.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No14c162.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.247252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes55c161.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8623153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes57c145.4$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.522128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No44c119.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.462040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No43c116.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.712339.8%49 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes56c107.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.165255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No21c97.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes57c84.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No43c84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.123961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.47735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No34c52.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.866854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No43c46.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a24…328abacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16ff…cc35backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No44c23.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.423243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.