Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a4c06c6b7a756f01f616098fd9f775abfba2fb0dff01c0005cdf0ad9548385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 40c | 16,439$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,655.55 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 8,224$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.24 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Yes | 76c | 7,175$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 5,551$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 5,050$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.84 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 3,549$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 80c | 2,801$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,445$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 41c | 1,616$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…3bf5backed No | 2c | 1,513$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 22c | 796.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 76c | 525.57$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 39c | 505$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…cf98backed Yes | 79c | 477.94$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 403.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.34 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 12c | 390.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 48c | 370$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 13c | 363.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.96 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 18c | 348.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 23c | 332.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 6c | 325.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 19c | 277.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…3736backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 199.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 63c | 169$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…b072backed Yes | 14c | 145.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +263.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 79c | 133.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 126.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…f6f1backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed No | 59c | 105.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…f02fbacked Yes | 13c | 91.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 45c | 70.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Yes | 43c | 70.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 43c | 57.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…4a03backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde38…4d41backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 39c | 44.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 47c | 40.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…7223backed Yes | 41c | 36.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…fad0backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…8375backed Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…fc5ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…6cf7backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…df20backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.