Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0495321956923dbf14c1931cc1b04194e46c7a94bd0c9c683f44eb8c6465a619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 23c | 1,044$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 20c | 1,034$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 692.99$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 80c | 561.95$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 77c | 500.58$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 14c | 378.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 32c | 220.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 28c | 214.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 175$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 162.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 18c | 107.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…3022backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 21c | 67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 79c | 64.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…64e1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.