TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL Cross Regional: DNS vs FLY

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FLYof DNS, FLY
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed FLY43c6,000$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,424.9959854.2%324 W · 274 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked DNS46c2,700$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2511,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed FLY60c2,250$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.8894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed DNS55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9989746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked FLY61c1,917$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.8567853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed FLY32c1,780$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2037951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9cf…c8b9backed FLY30c1,646$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.0517939.1%70 W · 109 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed FLY46c1,605$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.947758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed DNS61c1,565$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.8228835.4%102 W · 186 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked FLY41c1,559$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.828341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked FLY77c1,304$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.728767.8%59 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed DNS11c1,158$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3741227.4%113 W · 299 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked DNS55c1,081$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.724836.7%91 W · 157 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FLY35c887.98$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.191,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed DNS67c881.67$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.2711768.4%80 W · 37 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked DNS67c851.61$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.494052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed DNS16c800$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12832045.6%146 W · 174 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked DNS55c660$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36311938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed FLY41c659.62$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1842852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed DNS59c642.43$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.436541.9%153 W · 212 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed DNS55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33021249.5%105 W · 107 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed FLY39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed DNS58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29086451.4%444 W · 420 L+52.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked DNS15c499.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7668915.2%105 W · 584 L-31.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked DNS59c498.17$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9221944.3%97 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked DNS68c484.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7938051.1%194 W · 186 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed FLY42c475.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.779736.1%35 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed DNS60c440$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26464943.1%280 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed DNS60c439.27$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.561,41243.8%618 W · 794 L-3.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed DNS71c424.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036652.5%192 W · 174 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked DNS69c417.8$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2859658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed FLY45c407.94$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3796254.3%522 W · 440 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed DNS71c398.35$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3925660.5%155 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FLY31c373.33$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.273,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed FLY34c349.44$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2914335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked DNS60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047150.7%239 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f5…1e72backed FLY39c330.78$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8334441.9%144 W · 200 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb460…6e64backed DNS64c324.7$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.49755.7%54 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed DNS58c323.33$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.531540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed DNS41c312.04$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6765725.9%170 W · 487 L-93.4wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed FLY33c306.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.581,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked DNS68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20431646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed DNS75c294.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed DNS51c287.11$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14512536%45 W · 80 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked FLY31c259.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7951256.1%287 W · 225 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb02…c292backed DNS34c245.66$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.56860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked DNS65c230$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.55745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked DNS69c230$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked DNS65c203.08$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13249451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed FLY60c202.2$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2576639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed DNS72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14457449.7%285 W · 289 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1aa…bf0fbacked DNS39c188.27$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.191855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked DNS55c184$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.23240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked FLY31c177.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3890937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09bc…df12backed DNS68c168.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.954334.9%15 W · 28 L-8.6wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked DNS61c150.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1312147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed DNS76c149.04$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.272,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…357bbacked DNS76c148.91$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.597859%46 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed DNS30c121.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.991,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5ec8…8c9ebacked DNS43c115.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.782425%6 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked DNS60c114.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.548750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed DNS63c108.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.12245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed DNS33c101.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0222758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed FLY35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6510346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked DNS17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715635.9%56 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked FLY34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9928647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked DNS60c91.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.171241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed DNS70c90$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313156.5%74 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed DNS79c82.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6544470%311 W · 133 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2e…ee7bbacked FLY36c80.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.398937.1%33 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebdc…778abacked FLY66c80.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed FLY41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.173644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa271…a781backed DNS63c71.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457447.3%35 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd22…d3b0backed DNS69c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked DNS63c69.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1613…6bb0backed DNS60c68.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed DNS20c67.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.236960.9%42 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed DNS43c58.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534056.2%191 W · 149 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed FLY30c57.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4733237.7%125 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed FLY79c53.21$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb70c…34cabacked DNS69c52.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615773.2%115 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4f6…e8e2backed DNS69c49.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.441283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0805…1d14backed DNS68c48.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.337252.2%194 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed FLY33c42.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.429745.4%44 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b1…6322backed DNS65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265448.1%26 W · 28 L-8.0wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1bc4…e2b9backed FLY55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1815045.3%68 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed FLY41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5938344.6%171 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8256…af54backed DNS75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe224…4907backed DNS76c31.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.246671.2%47 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed FLY58c31.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.091,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa36…bd96backed DNS70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7579…524abacked DNS70c21.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3314455.6%80 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb098…3363backed DNS67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.419256.8%109 W · 83 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed DNS65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322152.5%116 W · 105 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.