TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No19c100,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,499.9910952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes66c24,955$16,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,484.647938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Yes66c20,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes32c4,444$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No39c4,165$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.8512050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.984443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes77c2,837$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.0296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes69c2,500$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.48457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes35c1,005$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.733847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No67c930$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.13759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c884$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.2732843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No65c844.63$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.55369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes58c829.33$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.881,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No68c668.99$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.0913550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c588$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked No3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes44c456.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.883655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c403.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2333951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c396.79$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5838744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No30c357.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3924849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes56c351.21$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No69c350$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24014742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea63…f54fbacked Yes33c345.3$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.351040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No27c336$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f5…e4dabacked No69c324.64$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2073622.2%8 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes32c299.74$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.822737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.124057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes32c281$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0813840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes69c280$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.820033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Yes32c275$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes31c271.45$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.32958.6%17 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No67c242.3$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3421058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No29c236.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.484146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes67c224.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.992889.3%25 W · 3 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2b46…12cebacked Yes65c222.3$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes37c219.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1344126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No68c184.13$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6415550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06dd…af8bbacked No23c182$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes35c160$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c153$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa478…d961backed Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No30c148$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.41010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes31c148$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.124953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes32c143.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.54845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.862171.4%15 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+51.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes35c141$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.652343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed No69c130$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No62c127.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9613639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No65c119.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes31c117.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.925944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes33c116.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6312049.2%59 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.293046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No67c106$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0222373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No66c104.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1510451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6710744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693650%18 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes34c88.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes34c87.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.652347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7759…45b8backed No68c83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a73…2548backed No68c73.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No69c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.36355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No20c68.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Yes80c68.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.756100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+72%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Yes32c67.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No67c67.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.143658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x092c…06b4backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.613351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…99debacked Yes33c60.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.271668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.25162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.24751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes34c58.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.873743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Yes66c53.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.213100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0313658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes31c52.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2632150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e898backed Yes66c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc76c…0206backed No69c51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No30c50.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.198952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1,085.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2822…741dbacked Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick38cpaid+104.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.393732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.886448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.125844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Yes44c38.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.732330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…ab51backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Yes34c34.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.646860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775267.3%35 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.