Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ddaf9cb573fba06dadc02c795136a637079b81105382160fb26b23b0e2af9ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 21c | 3,983$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.34 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 2,711$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.16 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 2,302$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…a2ebbacked No | 71c | 1,099$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 944.6$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.6 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 913.58$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.67 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 900$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 76c | 820.83$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 664$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 69c | 651.77$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…4bbcbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 17c | 496.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 31c | 351.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Yes | 31c | 283.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 70c | 187.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 147$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 30c | 97.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 70c | 70.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Yes | 34c | 63.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 31c | 46.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 45.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…cf3bbacked Yes | 31c | 44.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 70c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.