TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No36c30,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,2008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-80%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c8,670$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,665.11,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes73c4,713$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,440.493050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No47c2,499$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.9510752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No36c1,894$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.0237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes38c1,599$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.691625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes65c1,477$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.981283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c1,280$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.4328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No45c1,085$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.0631049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.831770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes55c1,041$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.1933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c1,040$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.461,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes54c999.39$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.674645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c980.32$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.8771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes54c537.04$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes56c534.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1035…e881backed Yes54c502.22$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No46c499.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.997146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No33c475$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.252360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes55c463.38$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8623153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes55c438.4$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4823151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes54c428.3$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No44c298.8$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1410948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No45c297.94$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.296157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes56c281.57$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.681643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No67c236.26$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8135157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes55c225$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7514337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed No46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc213…80f7backed Yes55c198.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.11838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes56c166.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c161.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…daa7backed Yes76c151.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No45c145.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.226553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa26…c10abacked Yes56c114.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes37c110.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+204.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes54c91.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes46c77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407429.7%22 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403946.2%18 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0512050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62425%6 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ce…dddbbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes65c47.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.543243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes28c41.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.553562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No31c41.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.327252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e28…3e73backed Yes75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes75c39.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No45c38.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2114452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4522…ff26backed Yes56c32.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.381330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c5…9ebdbacked Yes73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No60c21.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5435037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6810…03f9backed Yes54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5033…63c6backed Yes73c15.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes75c13.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.275851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.