Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4a12b5da94bc540f03a3c0fc444d855eceafab4a19f448b9375a2aac45afef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 1,270$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 78c | 1,213$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.31 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 25c | 1,038$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.33 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 900.85$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.6 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 885.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.66 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 11c | 674$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 20c | 640.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.51 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 23c | 515.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +335%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 480.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.54 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 431.8$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.44 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 20c | 265.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 79c | 259$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 23c | 185.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 164.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 22c | 136$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 129.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 23c | 106.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…a17cbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 89.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 77c | 57.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…b6c4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 31.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 77cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 76c | 15.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…03f9backed No | 79c | 14.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 77c | 13.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.