Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa578a1f4373fb3d9f16a7e4d234aa74d469ac980ed29925524245891ed3670e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked Yes | 75c | 18,267$13,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 25c | 9,720$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.01 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 25c | 4,444$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.51 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 25c | 3,534$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.5 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 2,697$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.02 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 28c | 1,750$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 72c | 1,229$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.12 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 1,102$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…1b98backed Yes | 77c | 847.2$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 18c | 578.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 32c | 333.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 300.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 31c | 299.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 70c | 294.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 34c | 293.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 31c | 199.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 32c | 190.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 31c | 158.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…d718backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 32c | 125.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…d713backed Yes | 69c | 113.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 70c | 100.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed No | 32c | 77.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Yes | 74c | 77.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e61…3e4abacked No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…298fbacked Yes | 69c | 75.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 32c | 75.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…4c0dbacked Yes | 68c | 71.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…2988backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…9a33backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 24c | 54.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…975abacked Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 32c | 48.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 69c | 45.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…78d0backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ae…a81dbacked Yes | 69c | 42.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Yes | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…3b71backed Yes | 73c | 33.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…8ebcbacked Yes | 74c | 31.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…bf63backed Yes | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…ec0ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…f468backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…21bdbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…78bbbacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…ad60backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will AZ win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.