TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FaZeof FaZe, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed FaZe61c24,397$14,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,534.5233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FaZe60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed 3DMAX39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9917737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x847f…459ebacked 3DMAX39c6,003$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed FaZe58c5,593$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.3935054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked FaZe69c5,087$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.7146165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 3DMAX42c4,750$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9951,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 3DMAX38c4,640$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.1641649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed 3DMAX17c4,076$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6817439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 3DMAX41c3,760$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.6463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x581d…b8febacked 3DMAX40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed 3DMAX40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40011434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked 3DMAX8c3,459$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.049746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked 3DMAX13c3,307$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9752834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked FaZe60c3,054$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed 3DMAX42c2,860$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.1828943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX28c2,618$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.342,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FaZe62c2,581$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.6548350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed 3DMAX39c2,422$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.723743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed 3DMAX39c2,288$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.2117554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed 3DMAX35c2,028$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.667459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed FaZe57c2,015$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed 3DMAX1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick2cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed 3DMAX1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked 3DMAX31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62029235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 3DMAX35c1,908$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.2461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked 3DMAX33c1,736$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.331942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked FaZe60c1,718$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.6910259.8%61 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed 3DMAX40c1,593$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.0521854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed 3DMAX40c1,547$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.85160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed 3DMAX35c1,547$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.345455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed FaZe57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64537557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX41c1,500$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked FaZe61c1,446$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.936442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FaZe63c1,364$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.273,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed 3DMAX39c1,333$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52018837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 3DMAX20c1,247$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.612,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed 3DMAX39c1,244$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48511843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed 3DMAX39c1,191$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.953357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed FaZe61c1,153$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9412651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 3DMAX13c1,125$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.222,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed FaZe61c1,099$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.4636555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked 3DMAX40c1,089$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.721442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX40c1,089$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.7298052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed FaZe61c1,083$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3745646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe611…2970backed 3DMAX39c1,046$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4084942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked FaZe58c1,035$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8824038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FaZe60c1,003$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.91,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked FaZe69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed 3DMAX39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39016542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked FaZe59c999.98$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FaZe65c974.39$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.514,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed FaZe72c973.21$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.381,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed 3DMAX32c972.83$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3165850%29 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed 3DMAX17c943.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16027961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x500c…aa52backed FaZe60c818.12$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FaZe62c792.79$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.783,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed 3DMAX42c704$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6812252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…7ef5backed 3DMAX40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c6…0123backed 3DMAX13c692.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 3DMAX42c689.59$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.781,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc065…00e2backed FaZe71c666$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FaZe55c646.68$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.691,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0890…c657backed 3DMAX19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked FaZe57c595$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8517250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked 3DMAX39c593$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.271833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked 3DMAX36c556.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7222241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked FaZe61c556.33$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9739847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed FaZe61c540.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.985151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6783…401abacked FaZe61c540.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.981457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed 3DMAX42c517.6$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4447053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked 3DMAX39c512.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.888625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 3DMAX43c508.93$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.512,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked FaZe58c500$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0235460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked FaZe62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed 3DMAX39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19519152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FaZe58c493.44$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed FaZe61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.88045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked FaZe61c483.92$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7360953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 3DMAX28c478.16$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed 3DMAX8c473$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.845749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked 3DMAX42c466.18$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8411446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed FaZe54c440.9$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8214151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed 3DMAX46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed FaZe61c415.12$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.915749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed 3DMAX42c393.59$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.316550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed FaZe60c390.45$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1821053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed 3DMAX39c388.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6661338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked 3DMAX13c386.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9674…1302backed 3DMAX13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508548.2%41 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed FaZe57c370$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.176546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 3DMAX16c367.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.132,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 3DMAX45c353.79$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.81,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX39c342.15$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.442,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed FaZe58c338$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX35c336.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.144,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed 3DMAX40c333.3$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.329247.8%44 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed 3DMAX39c325.51$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9522444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX41c322.73$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.471,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed FaZe61c321.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3137850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.