CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb94424b6768fcd299bb3d343e583fab37a7126eef779441dd5b5560d335f5f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof FaZe, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX | 62c | 231.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked 3DMAX | 63c | 157.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed FaZe | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed FaZe | 38c | 137.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed FaZe | 36c | 68.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…8d5abacked 3DMAX | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked FaZe | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed FaZe | 38c | 29.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed 3DMAX | 60c | 26.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…ba34backed 3DMAX | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.