Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b78187947ae97e966e7cc896e552625321935e960eab5881da990f665c8eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,911 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Under | 59c | 898.31$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 43c | 700$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 41c | 609$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.31 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 351.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 58c | 328$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 315.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…0e95backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…7c43backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Over | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 76.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 38c | 71.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…a2f1backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…eceebacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Under | 60c | 32.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 22.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.