MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa16ac30f0fedd915cbe7face6dda59de3b94a08b098f517b614199da9234c4ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Houston Astros, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 54,450$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,450.47 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 38,531$16,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,568.42 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 33,854$19,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,557.38 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 43c | 17,134$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 43c | 15,261$6,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,561.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 13,829$8,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.24 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 27c | 13,224$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Houston Astros | 41c | 12,451$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 11,714$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Houston Astros | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 8,503$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.34 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Houston Astros | 42c | 6,971$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.91 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 5,300$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.97 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 4,917$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.7 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 4,567$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.91 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 4,484$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.55 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,724$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,671$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.3 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,307$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,208$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,000$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.54 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 41c | 2,814$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.59 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Houston Astros | 3c | 2,375$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Houston Astros | 5c | 2,254$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 2,234$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.37 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Houston Astros | 40c | 2,060$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.7 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,008$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.74 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,967$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.51 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 33c | 1,945$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,803$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.4 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,741$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.08 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,600$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,380$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,211$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.72 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,181$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,147$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,110$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.11 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,103$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.28 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,001$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 994.66$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Astros | 35c | 865.76$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 833$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Houston Astros | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 753.32$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Houston Astros | 45c | 726.94$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.92 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Houston Astros | 27c | 720.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 683.2$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 666$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Houston Astros | 42c | 595.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.93 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Houston Astros | 44c | 522.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Houston Astros | 43c | 519.29$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 516.32$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 32c | 498.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Houston Astros | 44c | 495.14$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.34 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 473$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 435.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 44c | 427.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 43c | 420$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Houston Astros | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Houston Astros | 42c | 397.87$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…be4fbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 371.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 327$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 317.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 312.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 8c | 301.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 277$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 276.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 259.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 253.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…fc20backed Houston Astros | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 240.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 43c | 240$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Houston Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Houston Astros | 42c | 237$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Houston Astros | 43c | 232.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 229.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 208.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 203$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 42c | 200.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.