Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9021c452aca4c144bf62e7c9192ccf09c062b91f24edb339ffa55997edb497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 20c | 1,005$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.66 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 32c | 745.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.78 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 38c | 663.21$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.27 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 654.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.71 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…6505backed Yes | 7c | 600$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed Yes | 17c | 597$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.06 | 301 | 44.9%135 W · 166 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.06 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 45c | 475.23$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 76c | 402.44$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 388.6$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.65 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 382.14$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.15 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 14c | 326.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 74c | 268.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 263.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 80c | 244.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 35c | 229.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 44c | 213.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 212.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 210.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 33c | 210$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed No | 74c | 199$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 193$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 33c | 185.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked Yes | 47c | 177.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 164.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 160.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 62c | 160.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 25c | 158.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 29c | 157.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 20c | 157.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 16c | 156$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 26c | 151.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b3…e571backed Yes | 46c | 147.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 59c | 131$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 15c | 122.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 15c | 117$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 18c | 116.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 27c | 111.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 16c | 108.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 108$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 51c | 106.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 55c | 106.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 66c | 103.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 37c | 95.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…bd37backed Yes | 18c | 94.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 53c | 89.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 69c | 85.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 74.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 18c | 73.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 37c | 73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 68c | 63.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 67c | 62.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…f244backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 23c | 59.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 78c | 58.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0ef3backed Yes | 21c | 56.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 66c | 56.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 55.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 54.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 25c | 53.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 49c | 52.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 21c | 51.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…4886backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 41c | 48.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked No | 80c | 48.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 31c | 47.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 31c | 47.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 39c | 45.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 29c | 44.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 28c | 43.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…d22cbacked Yes | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 40.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 48c | 36.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 36.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 36c | 34.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 33.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b5…c585backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 75c | 31.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 52c | 29.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 47c | 25.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.