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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Purdue Boilermakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7690…74e1backed Purdue Boilermakers80c3,494$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.282157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Purdue Boilermakers11c3,145$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5146446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini71c3,051$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Purdue Boilermakers70c2,947$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.6912364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Boilermakers60c2,679$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.162,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois Fighting Illini20c2,446$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.14,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Purdue Boilermakers11c1,609$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.847020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini30c1,605$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.554060%24 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Boilermakers63c1,200$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.412,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Purdue Boilermakers26c1,143$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.651,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Purdue Boilermakers5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini33c962.25$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.98937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Purdue Boilermakers26c958.38$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.271,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…89ccbacked Illinois Fighting Illini42c949.99$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.08825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Illinois Fighting Illini40c910$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.725254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Illinois Fighting Illini20c860$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Illinois Fighting Illini26c782$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.1814643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Illinois Fighting Illini32c773.68$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.551,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Purdue Boilermakers61c660$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1719238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Illinois Fighting Illini39c647.75$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Illinois Fighting Illini34c504.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.043,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Illinois Fighting Illini30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Purdue Boilermakers35c481.03$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.412,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Boilermakers68c479.38$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.23,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini34c364.7$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.383946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini33c363.51$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.142,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Purdue Boilermakers50c344.12$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.31,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Purdue Boilermakers34c319.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.172,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini27c281.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Purdue Boilermakers75c267.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Purdue Boilermakers62c262.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8936535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Illinois Fighting Illini29c260.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7820026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini30c253.01$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1152928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c223.09$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.682,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Purdue Boilermakers64c216.23$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.39144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Boilermakers50c212.01$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.31,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Illinois Fighting Illini28c211.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2666831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Purdue Boilermakers56c210$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x403f…2b6bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini23c200.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.751844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Purdue Boilermakers80c196.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2319057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Purdue Boilermakers71c176.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.213743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Purdue Boilermakers12c154.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.592240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Illinois Fighting Illini20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12017122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Purdue Boilermakers79c127$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Purdue Boilermakers42c118.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.278341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Purdue Boilermakers27c117$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.031,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Purdue Boilermakers44c108.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.541,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Purdue Boilermakers70c104.29$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.59144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Illinois Fighting Illini31c97.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.191,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Illinois Fighting Illini32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7514339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Illinois Fighting Illini30c91.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.032,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Purdue Boilermakers63c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.644955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Illinois Fighting Illini24c88.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3714447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bc…963cbacked Purdue Boilermakers71c84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.645869%40 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Illinois Fighting Illini37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.085949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Purdue Boilermakers27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e82…47d5backed Illinois Fighting Illini43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.771741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x254a…7975backed Illinois Fighting Illini30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Illinois Fighting Illini42c65.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8429954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Illinois Fighting Illini39c64.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87de…6e5bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini31c63.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.636440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Illinois Fighting Illini30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Illinois Fighting Illini34c57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3729012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Illinois Fighting Illini36c55.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.255350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini33c54.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3423544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Illinois Fighting Illini44c53.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0122953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Purdue Boilermakers55c52.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini37c51.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.344040%16 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Illinois Fighting Illini30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Illinois Fighting Illini28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Illinois Fighting Illini36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0314035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Purdue Boilermakers69c49.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Illinois Fighting Illini41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7818557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Purdue Boilermakers26c42.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0810252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Illinois Fighting Illini32c35.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Illinois Fighting Illini69c30.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.313,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Boilermakers77c28.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.151,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…57f1backed Purdue Boilermakers70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.