College Football · resolved market
Army vs. UTSA Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a441e8e4377eeb5dff6a1b42b7f66bb91743ea943bec0659f8c77078a71184b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Armyof Army, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed UTSA Roadrunners | 76c | 33,021$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Army | 24c | 16,092$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,229.66 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UTSA Roadrunners | 44c | 13,613$6,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,038.43 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Army | 26c | 9,873$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,305.99 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Army | 24c | 7,723$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.23 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Army | 44c | 5,711$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.88 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Army | 59c | 4,013$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.71 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Army | 26c | 3,841$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.52 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Army | 25c | 2,931$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Army | 62c | 1,965$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.07 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Army | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Army | 70c | 1,328$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Army | 25c | 1,012$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.5 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Army | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Army | 26c | 938.04$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.15 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Army | 24c | 838$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.88 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Army | 66c | 757.5$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Army | 26c | 757.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.21 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Army | 70c | 715.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.71 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 709.48$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Army | 27c | 703.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Army | 26c | 700$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 583$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.42 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Army | 27c | 554$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.39 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Army | 27c | 550$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Army | 30c | 434.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.07 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Army | 65c | 375.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 311.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UTSA Roadrunners | 31c | 252.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Army | 56c | 177.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 165.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Army | 26c | 164.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Army | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x251a…79bdbacked Army | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UTSA Roadrunners | 31c | 106.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Army | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed UTSA Roadrunners | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…1d08backed Army | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Army | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Army | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 92.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Army | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 77c | 68.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Army | 27c | 52.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…787bbacked Army | 54c | 50.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Army | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Army | 24c | 47.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Army | 22c | 47.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Army | 47c | 42.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…8f27backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Army | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 36.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 39c | 27.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Army | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…7545backed Army | 64c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 22.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Army | 62c | 22.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed UTSA Roadrunners | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…bdcdbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Army | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…0dc0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 19.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed UTSA Roadrunners | 73c | 19.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army vs. UTSA Roadrunnersthis page
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)Army won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)Army won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.