Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4743f168ee6de03d474a1b0316034bb8530c984a2753c45e8b817e2fc56e9ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 9,150$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 5,008$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.78 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 2,663$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.98 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 39c | 1,870$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 1,800$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Yes | 37c | 1,625$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked No | 63c | 1,622$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,060$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 35c | 957.14$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 940$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.4 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 37c | 939.43$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 23c | 899.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 35c | 885.71$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 41c | 800.76$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 695.02$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.87 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 37c | 599.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 29c | 555.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 27c | 554.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 40c | 489.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 453$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 64c | 420.94$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 420.77$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 329.16$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 28c | 260$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 63c | 237.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 202.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…ac56backed Yes | 44c | 190.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…0528backed Yes | 37c | 169.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 21c | 161.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 39c | 159.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 38c | 158$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Yes | 41c | 144.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 37c | 133.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 40c | 124.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 36c | 119.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 116.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 44c | 114.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 61c | 110.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 33c | 101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…bef1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…b77ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed No | 62c | 81.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +146%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 60c | 68.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 66.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 28c | 66.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 26c | 59.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked Yes | 38c | 58.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 65c | 42.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 37c | 33.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked No | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…932abacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…56b6backed No | 59c | 30.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…2ff5backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked No | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.