Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ed50be634e2ba13d681c61d06f749a17858fd07673c060ce8bb064d7024918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 79c | 4,441$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,992$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 650.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 21c | 647.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed No | 79c | 474.68$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 369.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 312.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 16c | 227.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 30c | 168$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 66c | 73.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd3…a0f4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 22c | 61.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 68c | 40.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 75c | 25.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 70c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.