Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb099ecdb4d16474341f97445debbb2dd41d2c57017d8d42da75ef35438bf2025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 36,924$4,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…e917backed Yes | 14c | 7,100$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Yes | 13c | 5,200$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 13c | 5,187$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.37 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 4,944$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.51 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 12c | 2,465$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.58 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 12c | 1,542$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 1,418$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…ea73backed Yes | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,031$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 15c | 933.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 13c | 895.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e7…0558backed Yes | 13c | 780$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 16c | 612.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d0e1backed Yes | 12c | 595$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…a840backed Yes | 13c | 513.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes | 12c | 410$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…8cccbacked Yes | 15c | 407.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 12c | 313.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 12c | 298.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 13c | 268.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 11c | 243.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 14c | 235.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 14c | 228.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…5efebacked Yes | 13c | 228.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 13c | 227.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…da1dbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…da66backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…8016backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbded…156ebacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…0040backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc731…9ad5backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…9ea7backed Yes | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d56…6219backed Yes | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 13c | 127$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 119.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…6021backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 25.3%47 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…f3f5backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…4b94backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 14c | 100.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…284bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…49e2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…0830backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…0abebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0a40backed Yes | 14c | 82.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye?Yes won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.