Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b91ff07c77e5c8f4299fa060d07d5321dcf2e058545687395033c9fabbf0cdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 36,605$5,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,495.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 14c | 7,575$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.8 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 17c | 5,365$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.1 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 2,711$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.31 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 18c | 1,879$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 758.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 19c | 713$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d0e1backed Yes | 14c | 595$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…6886backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…aad7backed Yes | 21c | 482$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 18c | 452.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 14c | 448.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 420.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…da66backed Yes | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…e79bbacked Yes | 16c | 275.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 15c | 263.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 15c | 256.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 14c | 249.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 237$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes | 15c | 230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…5efebacked Yes | 15c | 202.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…da1dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…f17cbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…1002backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…8016backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 15c | 167.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…efc1backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…db4ebacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…38adbacked Yes | 14c | 140.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes | 14c | 139.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 14c | 138.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 15c | 137.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 13c | 136.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fa…bf19backed Yes | 15c | 136.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…732bbacked Yes | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…c792backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…ccb0backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…c17ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…fcbfbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…0040backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…22f3backed Yes | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…a8bfbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…1473backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 13c | 104$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 15c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…ec6dbacked Yes | 15c | 102.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…8088backed Yes | 15c | 100.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…49e2backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…0830backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…dd96backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…0abebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 65.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f78…8461backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…f3f5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…0015backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…9968backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye?Yes won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.