Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780c00cd4357656bf11aa66fe918e0a57c7e0ac71a6605197dcf1651d7716eeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 18,426$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 2,719$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.58 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 7c | 2,361$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 31c | 1,954$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.16 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 1,553$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.77 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 6c | 1,192$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed No | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…be4fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,024$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 74c | 906.85$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 66c | 843.72$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c0e6backed Yes | 27c | 734.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 79c | 732.74$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 625$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 599.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 594.06$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 32c | 517.56$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…3335backed Yes | 8c | 475$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…844ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 78c | 273.74$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 61c | 264.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 260.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 253.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…881abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…0a29backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3a6dbacked Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…399ebacked Yes | 19c | 165.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…a231backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 28c | 100.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…f3f5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…4cf1backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…fdb6backed Yes | 15c | 72.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…7479backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 56c | 53.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…909cbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 61c | 44.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 57c | 40.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…3999backed Yes | 37c | 40.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e2…02abbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 79c | 22.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye?Yes won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.