Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb052599c32bb71ecdf791b53716deaa6feed3c10d4e54f8692455ccf458f33a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 18,755$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,215.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 10,600$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.49 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,729.86 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 78c | 4,487$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.93 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 27c | 3,985$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.14 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 67c | 3,601$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.52 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 49c | 3,389$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.01 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 3,277$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.68 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 2,396$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.91 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 53c | 1,996$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.79 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 69c | 1,803$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.66 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 14c | 1,494$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 1,429$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.9 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 1,354$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.9 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 75c | 1,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.27 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 1,113$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 59c | 1,098$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.19 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,044$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.67 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 839.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…be4fbacked Yes | 56c | 627.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.24 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 13c | 545.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.38 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 46c | 508$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 443.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 47c | 397.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 13c | 383.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.07 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 3c | 343.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…909cbacked Yes | 72c | 340.38$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…fd5abacked Yes | 16c | 311.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…efc1backed Yes | 20c | 307.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.91 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 66c | 303.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…f17cbacked Yes | 10c | 299.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 70c | 284.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 12c | 276.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 77c | 261.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…fbb5backed Yes | 12c | 243.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.01 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…8656backed Yes | 51c | 223.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 22c | 223$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 40c | 206.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 16c | 189.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…f4a1backed Yes | 11c | 180.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…b90abacked Yes | 70c | 164.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 63c | 158.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 17c | 149.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…8f89backed Yes | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Yes | 12c | 129.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…c9b0backed Yes | 12c | 129.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…db4ebacked Yes | 71c | 125.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 121.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Yes | 57c | 118.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…f526backed Yes | 16c | 102.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…3948backed Yes | 51c | 98.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 60c | 90.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…a2a8backed Yes | 56c | 89.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 13c | 86.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…4a1ebacked Yes | 15c | 85.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6290…d7c1backed Yes | 60c | 83.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 29c | 80.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 13c | 75.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 29c | 74.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Yes | 55c | 72.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…7c1dbacked Yes | 34c | 71.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0177…01d6backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…4002backed Yes | 56c | 67.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…b947backed No | 35c | 65.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…5d5ebacked Yes | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…4cf1backed Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 67c | 44.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 61c | 42.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…38debacked Yes | 65c | 37.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304d…8558backed Yes | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…c49fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…2d3abacked Yes | 80c | 27.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…e596backed Yes | 79c | 25.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…c177backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…b3e6backed Yes | 79c | 18.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 2 Türkiye?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.