Token Launches · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ca157fe6cc8ad10903c6ff23a8d6ff2fd4774251e1df9d276c1984c0b07e19e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x526f…f180backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…24e5backed Yes | 1c | 24,208$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 0c | 11,664$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…ee53backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…5c28backed Yes | 63c | 8,472$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked Yes | 9c | 6,666$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +337.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 3,731$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…cf89backed No | 49c | 2,951$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 43c | 2,426$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.86 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 2,354$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked Yes | 17c | 2,352$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…b21dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,251$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,122$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,048$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 11c | 2,032$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…b995backed Yes | 45c | 1,791$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed Yes | 17c | 1,760$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 48c | 1,600$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.95 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae7…9036backed Yes | 1c | 1,466$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 15c | 1,464$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.92 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…29c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,460$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ee05backed Yes | 1c | 1,374$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,327$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…e846backed Yes | 43c | 1,277$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…8a4cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,187$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…2852backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…ba96backed Yes | 52c | 973.79$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…629ebacked Yes | 2c | 930$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 891.16$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…68c7backed Yes | 11c | 877.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…de43backed Yes | 53c | 830.64$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 20c | 757.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 26c | 744.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…185ebacked Yes | 15c | 674.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 2c | 656.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…9cc6backed Yes | 58c | 640.08$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +222.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…458ebacked Yes | 48c | 639.33$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +900.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 48c | 624.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…6a86backed Yes | 2c | 619.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf156…9ce6backed Yes | 33c | 608.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 51c | 602.14$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes | 34c | 587.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 11c | 570$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…8137backed Yes | 19c | 504.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…3e45backed Yes | 62c | 485.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0e…f1d5backed Yes | 33c | 453.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…420cbacked Yes | 18c | 436.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…fbc0backed Yes | 46c | 432.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…407ebacked Yes | 12c | 430.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…5ecebacked Yes | 38c | 424.2$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 13c | 399.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e68…357ebacked Yes | 15c | 395.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfd…0dfcbacked Yes | 62c | 375.9$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…c6e3backed Yes | 24c | 366.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed Yes | 45c | 358.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 36c | 353.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…75dabacked Yes | 22c | 345.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 23c | 342.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…3ba4backed Yes | 30c | 336.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 12c | 331.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 36c | 322.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 24c | 322.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…0f1dbacked Yes | 16c | 309.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0776…abb4backed Yes | 15c | 302.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…c749backed Yes | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234f…e2ecbacked Yes | 53c | 299.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 24c | 293.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 79c | 292.68$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked Yes | 14c | 270.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…3a2bbacked Yes | 20c | 244.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…23f0backed No | 57c | 225.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed Yes | 52c | 224.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…b6c8backed Yes | 19c | 219.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9cabbacked Yes | 49c | 217.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…8f03backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…1de3backed No | 57c | 215.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb21…1583backed Yes | 45c | 214.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 62c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…972ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884f…4bc5backed Yes | 48c | 199.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 40c | 195.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…9f0fbacked Yes | 62c | 172.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10a…3352backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes | 56c | 164.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6de…d40dbacked Yes | 33c | 164.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…8023backed Yes | 34c | 164.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed Yes | 34c | 164.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…e1b7backed Yes | 58c | 162.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…74d4backed Yes | 68c | 161.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 48c | 158.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…3ce8backed Yes | 53c | 149.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…fc10backed No | 51c | 137.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…9eb7backed Yes | 69c | 130.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…ffb3backed Yes | 13c | 123.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…24f5backed Yes | 26c | 113.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?this page
- Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid launch a token in October?No won
- Will Hyperliquid launch a token in September?No won
- Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.