Token Launches · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5dbff18745feb9efda07f903126e59c957ca313bf44c819846136609fc6247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $937,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,065,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x427f…a5bebacked No | 2c | 49,892$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 2c | 40,270$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 13c | 40,200$5,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.36 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006f…aaf8backed Yes | 39c | 31,714$12,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261d…937dbacked No | 48c | 20,843$10,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,072.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…68f8backed Yes | 66c | 19,478$12,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…e846backed Yes | 41c | 17,493$7,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,289.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed No | 13c | 16,337$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.47 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f66…f2afbacked No | 1c | 12,952$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…fc10backed Yes | 35c | 11,260$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 47c | 10,291$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.41 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…5c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 10,061$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 9,386$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed No | 28c | 8,471$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…4bacbacked Yes | 32c | 8,300$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…9d0dbacked Yes | 24c | 8,200$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +309.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…48b9backed No | 10c | 7,920$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +424.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…f4f5backed No | 25c | 7,560$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 60c | 6,864$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.49 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…c20abacked Yes | 72c | 6,264$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d58…e2dbbacked Yes | 17c | 6,165$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +480.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…b21dbacked Yes | 43c | 5,517$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…eb83backed Yes | 10c | 5,176$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,678.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +191.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a9…6ba4backed Yes | 71c | 4,698$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…3dffbacked No | 29c | 4,698$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 80c | 4,667$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.62 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed No | 30c | 4,535$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…1b08backed Yes | 35c | 4,287$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Yes | 41c | 4,182$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 77c | 3,865$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…19b2backed Yes | 22c | 3,806$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…322dbacked No | 40c | 3,790$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ff…6fc1backed No | 57c | 3,778$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 3,719$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…401fbacked No | 2c | 3,631$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…fcb0backed No | 6c | 3,583$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 17c | 3,508$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +337.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…b6c8backed No | 21c | 3,478$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…d2cebacked Yes | 53c | 3,408$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…2852backed No | 26c | 3,405$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes | 64c | 3,365$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…75c3backed No | 5c | 3,314$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…de30backed Yes | 39c | 3,124$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 6c | 2,950$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 11cpaid | +664.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…3155backed Yes | 69c | 2,906$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913e…a4bebacked No | 58c | 2,881$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335b…ff9fbacked No | 33c | 2,662$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3262…55afbacked No | 26c | 2,497$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…d67cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,418$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,265.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 27c | 2,367$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 21c | 2,356$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.7 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f1…c8e8backed No | 50c | 2,323$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…4cecbacked Yes | 10c | 2,272$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +903.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 13c | 2,223$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +498.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 3c | 2,169$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…eda2backed Yes | 74c | 2,060$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +113%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…458ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,981$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +900.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3769…17dfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,961$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +638.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…1e2fbacked No | 1c | 1,852$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked No | 32c | 1,843$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…6a37backed No | 51c | 1,834$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…6f8abacked No | 57c | 1,800$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…7377backed Yes | 74c | 1,736$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…b080backed Yes | 22c | 1,722$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…f437backed No | 59c | 1,708$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…b20abacked No | 25c | 1,602$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…9721backed No | 66c | 1,600$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 25c | 1,592$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…9c46backed Yes | 31c | 1,463$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 73c | 1,435$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.86 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4864…1351backed No | 2c | 1,393$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…fbc0backed Yes | 38c | 1,361$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…de4dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,319$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…53fcbacked No | 42c | 1,304$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…6119backed No | 18c | 1,297$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…6e59backed Yes | 18c | 1,280$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…36e6backed Yes | 80c | 1,275$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…3046backed Yes | 40c | 1,248$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 11c | 1,236$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…b825backed Yes | 11c | 1,229$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +771.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 25c | 1,194$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7933…551dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,187$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf599…935bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,180$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…382cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…ae5dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,149$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…fd06backed No | 2c | 1,125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 1,107$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.11 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…3db0backed Yes | 53c | 1,090$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…dc31backed Yes | 73c | 1,021$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…7ad7backed Yes | 10c | 1,006$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +901%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed No | 17c | 1,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…81fabacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f28…94e3backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…745ebacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +436.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657f…7c45backed Yes | 27c | 992.08$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 27cpaid | +277.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 6c | 983$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…b3a9backed Yes | 26c | 975.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…4a18backed Yes | 28c | 972.02$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?this page
- Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?No won
- Will Hyperliquid launch a token in October?No won
- Will Hyperliquid launch a token in September?No won
- Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.