Us Politics · resolved market
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a9d4954f0d8a7241194ca3b2cd67e8aa953ea10758469faf25fab5e4437ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $570,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb464…0b8cbacked Yes | 18c | 86,456$15,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,562.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3899…452ebacked Yes | 19c | 53,357$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 21c | 23,110$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.77 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 71c | 17,934$12,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.57 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…8f47backed Yes | 19c | 14,476$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.27 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes | 29c | 14,218$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed No | 68c | 13,911$9,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed Yes | 12c | 10,038$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 33c | 7,613$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.36 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 10c | 6,330$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.6 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 78c | 5,743$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.17 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed No | 80c | 5,204$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 21c | 4,647$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.08 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 77c | 4,502$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,501$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 80c | 3,422$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.61 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…02c9backed Yes | 33c | 3,374$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1b…9397backed Yes | 15c | 3,336$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 3,330$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 22c | 3,117$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.45 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 19c | 2,952$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.06 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 25c | 2,901$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.35 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…5d71backed Yes | 28c | 2,878$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,532$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 17c | 2,475$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.98 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…3584backed Yes | 23c | 1,763$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 16c | 1,600$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 22c | 1,514$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…cab6backed Yes | 3c | 1,435$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…0c0abacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…504bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,404$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,387$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.62 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…49a4backed Yes | 14c | 1,332$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 3c | 1,147$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 71c | 1,136$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…79c1backed Yes | 17c | 1,120$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 69c | 1,110$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…165cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed No | 77c | 1,100$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 77c | 1,000$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…f445backed Yes | 25c | 998.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 76c | 992.54$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 76c | 990.48$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…7e17backed Yes | 19c | 980.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…2200backed Yes | 33c | 903.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 77c | 899.99$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…bdf0backed Yes | 8c | 890.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +223.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…d2afbacked Yes | 23c | 856.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Yes | 25c | 854.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 18c | 830$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…c292backed Yes | 25c | 808.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Yes | 27c | 789$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…1a76backed Yes | 30c | 781$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 10c | 722.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 4c | 692.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…af5fbacked Yes | 36c | 670$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…39c6backed Yes | 11c | 669.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…63b0backed Yes | 27c | 633.39$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 77c | 619.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…110dbacked Yes | 34c | 582.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…f7fcbacked Yes | 15c | 573.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 565.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed Yes | 23c | 559.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 67c | 533.44$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…1b55backed Yes | 10c | 520$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…6ec8backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…52ddbacked Yes | 21c | 452.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 18c | 450.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 33c | 409.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3d…e107backed Yes | 26c | 384.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 28c | 365$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Yes | 10c | 358.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 21c | 342.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…e0f3backed Yes | 21c | 340.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 23c | 332.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…7f6bbacked Yes | 29c | 313.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked No | 75c | 305$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked No | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…d4a0backed Yes | 32c | 299.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 69c | 297.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 78c | 286$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Yes | 26c | 282.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…4925backed Yes | 15c | 270.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…cb93backed No | 75c | 267.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 267.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 65c | 265.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 33c | 258$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 42c | 239.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 75c | 239.51$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…0a82backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…06b0backed No | 69c | 217.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 207.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.