Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9607e5f2f127c442df6943a2de94592ea9949f05543526619d93d2d8b00b5e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 35c | 9,087$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 8c | 8,650$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.51 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 7,590$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 27c | 5,601$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.94 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 71c | 5,115$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…ab88backed Yes | 3c | 4,929$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…14f0backed No | 73c | 3,840$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…303fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,516$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,515$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.71 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,444$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,438$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.83 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 12c | 3,300$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 73c | 3,295$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 23c | 3,273$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 7c | 3,125$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.16 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…ec0cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,775$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed Yes | 25c | 2,682$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 61c | 2,625$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 20c | 2,366$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.98 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 30c | 2,092$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 26c | 2,030$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.7 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 72c | 1,874$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.56 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,742$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 1,740$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.65 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…12c3backed Yes | 29c | 1,700$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,696$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,642$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 7c | 1,540$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 28c | 1,534$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.88 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 26c | 1,505$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…04c9backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 15c | 1,443$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 75c | 1,388$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed No | 73c | 1,356$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 22c | 1,348$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.77 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 19c | 1,337$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 27c | 1,325$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.72 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,219$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.81 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…f4b3backed Yes | 23c | 1,187$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked No | 71c | 1,153$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 79c | 1,137$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a0abacked Yes | 22c | 1,123$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 36c | 1,077$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca98…7540backed Yes | 5c | 983.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 21c | 951.86$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 79c | 907.84$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 64c | 900$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 30c | 877.82$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e2…1546backed Yes | 31c | 854.02$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 21c | 824.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 39c | 820$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…5aacbacked No | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Yes | 3c | 767.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 29c | 700$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 7c | 700$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 75c | 684.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 30c | 649.27$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…97e7backed Yes | 34c | 631.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…7863backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 17c | 620$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…8af5backed No | 71c | 619.26$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…283bbacked No | 58c | 610.12$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 74c | 608.5$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…0363backed Yes | 31c | 598.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…ba7bbacked Yes | 2c | 588.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 38c | 554.4$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 74c | 546.83$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…f1f0backed Yes | 37c | 541.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 28c | 540$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Yes | 39c | 513.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 2c | 509.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 73c | 500$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Yes | 2c | 492.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 14c | 480$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes | 28c | 460$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 26c | 449.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…ee69backed Yes | 7c | 427.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 425.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6269…1887backed Yes | 35c | 419.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…d1cdbacked Yes | 22c | 405$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 32c | 394.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…3009backed Yes | 13c | 385.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…25d8backed No | 79c | 382$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 67c | 380$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…407cbacked Yes | 34c | 369.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…5084backed Yes | 34c | 369.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.