F1 · resolved market
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c5315934ef59be7c06d600ab11b63b52e2936a1384a1f64bca0b6680286e644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 16c | 11,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,487$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…f9fbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,196$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed No | 77c | 884.92$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…4cf3backed Yes | 26c | 720.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 699.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…b5b3backed Yes | 15c | 643$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 69c | 591.58$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…4209backed Yes | 4c | 539$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Yes | 44c | 449.13$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 27c | 417.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 324.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…0772backed Yes | 20c | 254$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed No | 67c | 245$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 74c | 239.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 47c | 232.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…a2cfbacked No | 75c | 221.96$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 184.32$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b4…2294backed No | 75c | 143.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…f965backed Yes | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…e48ebacked Yes | 12c | 126.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…8f91backed Yes | 32c | 123.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 116.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 106.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…918cbacked Yes | 25c | 101.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 100.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 70c | 88.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 20c | 85.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 54c | 78.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 76c | 77.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…6237backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…73c8backed No | 73c | 64.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked No | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed No | 53c | 62.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…aa62backed Yes | 17c | 61.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 54c | 53.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc370…829abacked No | 65c | 52.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 24c | 52.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…a9c6backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…7462backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…672abacked Yes | 21c | 46.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…59c9backed Yes | 23c | 46.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…64afbacked Yes | 25c | 41.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 66c | 40.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 44c | 38.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Yes | 51c | 34.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…c958backed No | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…7f05backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3178…277dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…e79ebacked No | 53c | 23.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…edb3backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…d5b2backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…3dabbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…804ebacked No | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…8a55backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.