TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$483,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$507,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1c9…96d9backed Kings37c64,201$23,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,538.22634.6%9 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets50c50,538$25,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,343.8647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Rockets22c42,904$9,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,419.4634532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Rockets64c24,528$15,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,675.683652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Kings79c20,270$16,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.627163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets36c19,758$7,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,122.921,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e94…3f94backed Rockets53c17,715$9,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,442.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Rockets19c14,329$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.3922049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings64c13,114$8,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,688.536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings53c11,276$5,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,315.743,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockets53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets62c9,054$5,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,642.9896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…2a30backed Kings55c6,973$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings51c6,389$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.2670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings37c6,003$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,805.191,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Kings39c5,198$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.7512540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Kings50c4,708$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.429738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Kings68c4,040$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.859572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockets51c4,021$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.535,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets61c3,797$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.3647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Rockets53c3,332$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.3320447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets62c3,026$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.2449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets64c2,934$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.4977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Kings47c2,870$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.125151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets49c2,806$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.8170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets48c2,781$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.7228347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Kings36c2,777$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.289247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kings50c2,768$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.6833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.119944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Rockets50c2,400$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.4636434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Rockets10c2,070$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0425016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rockets62c2,066$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.0936748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets64c2,000$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.471,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets63c2,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.6773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Kings45c1,951$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9613731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Kings36c1,932$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.6536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Rockets55c1,820$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.826431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Rockets65c1,535$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Kings42c1,484$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.276841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Rockets60c1,451$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.628241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets61c1,367$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.7450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets2c1,300$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Rockets62c1,300$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8061,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Rockets64c1,150$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.7645743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets62c1,144$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.251,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rockets46c1,135$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.87149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Kings40c1,125$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67545135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d4…6f09backed Kings44c1,124$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.633759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Rockets41c1,119$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Rockets62c1,075$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.4956945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockets64c1,060$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.4518354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Rockets62c1,026$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.2619448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Rockets63c1,024$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.299868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Kings39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings36c999.87$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.921,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings34c989.03$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.7630440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Rockets61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Rockets29c931.56$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Kings39c773.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0814051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets64c742$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c36…52b9backed Rockets63c740.84$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rockets63c704.99$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rockets63c701.31$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8316844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Rockets67c691.18$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46012955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Kings61c667.21$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.215050%25 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Kings38c662.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.0393036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbda…0fc4backed Rockets53c659.1$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35050%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets64c650$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.91,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Kings61c647.8$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3736751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5c4…f627backed Rockets47c645.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Rockets47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Rockets51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Kings38c578.95$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.956848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Kings36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5626124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2180…9bfebacked Kings37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Kings38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3212941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3242827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Rockets13c520$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.634425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Rockets9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Rockets63c499.92$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcace…4fbdbacked Kings55c476.35$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.359160.4%55 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9beb…d6fbbacked Rockets64c467.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.912669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e9…3b1cbacked Kings37c448.65$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+248.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Rockets37c410.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed Rockets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets63c400$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Kings36c385.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.673250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7f…5ddfbacked Rockets65c360$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Kings48c356.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0950047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rockets62c352.8$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…1e74backed Kings40c326$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.64238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b60…09cabacked Rockets63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked Kings37c311.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.294748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rockets63c310$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6787647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Rockets45c310$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0355…39aebacked Rockets65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf304…d1b0backed Rockets65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+92.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.