TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Hornets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$284,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans56c20,797$11,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,150.4947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans26c18,629$4,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,795.9833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets44c16,717$7,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,338.166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Pelicans65c10,480$6,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.4822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Hornets41c10,097$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.8229738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets37c9,400$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.093,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Hornets44c8,196$3,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56628341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e2…3347backed Pelicans59c7,204$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6331…7dc8backed Pelicans59c7,034$4,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hornets19c5,720$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Hornets71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.9629858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets44c4,745$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.3649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets42c4,031$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.9696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets43c3,540$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.9677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Hornets32c3,199$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.13426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Pelicans45c3,001$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.7214034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Hornets38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets43c2,748$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.161345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1003…0c8fbacked Hornets42c2,462$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…76e6backed Hornets43c2,414$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets41c2,412$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.781,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659e…8d8dbacked Hornets43c2,411$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204a…51f2backed Hornets42c2,394$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa38…7c14backed Hornets43c2,387$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0770…99acbacked Hornets44c2,346$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans54c2,328$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.971,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans56c2,290$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pelicans47c2,251$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.1329957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans70c2,206$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.9770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Pelicans57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8603158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed Hornets43c1,995$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets42c1,826$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.8637734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Hornets44c1,813$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.789437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans56c1,810$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.3173647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans55c1,593$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.371,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Pelicans58c1,557$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.8735050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets52c1,467$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.925,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pelicans67c1,331$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.0736748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Hornets27c1,253$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6513248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Pelicans67c1,215$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.8630061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pelicans58c1,207$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.929643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74be…4e55backed Pelicans57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5161080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Pelicans56c1,189$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.348142%34 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans28c1,124$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.61,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Pelicans45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1126431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Pelicans29c1,010$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71322458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Hornets72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204953.1%26 W · 23 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-25.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Hornets42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Pelicans61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d8…9574backed Hornets42c925.69$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.791241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…f46bbacked Pelicans57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Pelicans58c868.82$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.625865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Pelicans59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4647048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…79e0backed Pelicans58c829.31$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.311464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets42c758.36$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Hornets42c743.34$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1720153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets38c716.52$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.891,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets43c698$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.141,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Pelicans58c626.6$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.174535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25851037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets41c564.97$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets2c560$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pelicans57c496$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hornets41c482.84$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Hornets35c406.64$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9636751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Pelicans43c389.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.495848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets42c387$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans57c374.33$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8445743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Pelicans59c372.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8856348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Hornets44c348$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1225851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb65…3412backed Pelicans57c321.05$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.054639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets40c320$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets42c304.23$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Hornets66c304.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans58c304.17$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Hornets66c304.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Hornets35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10513138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Pelicans42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17423658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Hornets44c297$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6815237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans70c288.43$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Pelicans36c250.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2828657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Hornets33c248.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2270153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Hornets51c244.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8717943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Hornets43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Hornets45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pelicans56c209.38$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1314563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…602cbacked Hornets29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.41323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb4…ff62backed Hornets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Pelicans56c196.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6323554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…a0a1backed Pelicans57c195.81$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Hornets66c189.46$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12517256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1400…40d8backed Pelicans65c181.98$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.241050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Hornets44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805450%27 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Hornets24c179.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4436747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.