Chess · resolved market
Will Jynxzi win the PogChamps chess tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51803bab1b173b2e7f582915a59821c10e717c82d5af1c557c5de90669257ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 73c | 1,234$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Yes | 27c | 1,105$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 67c | 989.65$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…450ebacked Yes | 65c | 653.52$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 29c | 563.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Yes | 18c | 438.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +469.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…f978backed Yes | 40c | 300.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 27c | 169$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 33c | 139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Yes | 59c | 134.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…0319backed Yes | 79c | 127.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Yes | 80c | 122.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked Yes | 74c | 89.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 18c | 62.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…c22ebacked Yes | 27c | 60.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 44c | 57.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed No | 58c | 51.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…0a28backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…bb9ebacked Yes | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed Yes | 36c | 45.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebca…da8bbacked No | 72c | 30.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jynxzi win the PogChamps chess tournament?this page
- Will Agent00 win the PogChamps chess tournament?No won
- Will ExtraEmily win the PogChamps chess tournament?No won
- Will Joe Bartolozzi win the PogChamps chess tournament?No won
- Will ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.