Premier League · resolved market
Mohamed Salah: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a4b8188b1cb54cdeadfc4e9aa4c4dc4b2d3cc97908a02674f73abe4d13bdb25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 57c | 218.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Yes | 43c | 62.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…615abacked Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9247…02fbbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…55dfbacked Yes | 44c | 36.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 56c | 23.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…283ebacked Yes | 46c | 21.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 54c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.