Premier League · resolved market
Martin Odegaard: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x390cd574551933b3c52212e26e7b7d8223edb89a72f943788167f1f81949a730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Yes | 26c | 12,967$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,595.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 74c | 10,352$7,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,664.28 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed No | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 74c | 799.99$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…cd83backed No | 75c | 111.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…b0c1backed No | 74c | 103$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 23c | 84.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5a6dbacked Yes | 25c | 47.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…2a9bbacked No | 74c | 47.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…aa02backed Yes | 23c | 42.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed No | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 73c | 29.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed No | 74c | 26.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 21.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…3356backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 77c | 13.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Martin Odegaard: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Bukayo Saka: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Gabriel Martinelli: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kai Havertz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.