Champions League · resolved market
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcea95807ec97b67b6d649b61cf54af785e7ab881563a21eea9f61eef0a7c9192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 62c | 1,141$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.5 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes | 38c | 570.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…61babacked Yes | 38c | 291.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…5ec9backed Yes | 41c | 234.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 63c | 222.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 59c | 201.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…678ebacked Yes | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…5eb1backed Yes | 37c | 79.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…abd1backed Yes | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…e68bbacked Yes | 38c | 60.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…2ddfbacked No | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked No | 66c | 15.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Alexander Isak: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Dominik Szoboszlai: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Hugo Ekitike: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Mohamed Salah: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.