Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189d15c07ceae4e520a23b8a2ef8e1cc74c4d3be2bfd64c4e602cbabd3817502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 22c | 4,818$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.26 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 73c | 2,139$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed No | 22c | 1,039$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…bdd3backed No | 34c | 924.58$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 29c | 750$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 68c | 673.15$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 77c | 479.68$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 57c | 449$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 393.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…89f6backed No | 19c | 379.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 262.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 48c | 246.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 14c | 209.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 56c | 203.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 28c | 191.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…259dbacked No | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 44c | 162.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 17c | 149.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Yes | 24c | 126.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…755dbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked No | 60c | 83.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a0…bde1backed No | 41c | 71.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 62.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…e4d0backed No | 49c | 59.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 24c | 57.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…7853backed No | 26c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 65c | 56.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…de1abacked Yes | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…8bf8backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…da05backed No | 65c | 49.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6901…cb49backed Yes | 47c | 45.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed No | 25c | 43.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 50c | 41.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2a49backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…0b93backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…2131backed No | 58c | 34.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…ab43backed No | 33c | 33.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed No | 44c | 29.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…e135backed Yes | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…aababacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a4…4051backed Yes | 76c | 16.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…529fbacked Yes | 73c | 14.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 76c | 13.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Angers finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Auxerre finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brest finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Le Havre finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Lens finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Lorient finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Nantes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Nice finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Paris St-Germain finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Toulouse finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.