TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,933 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No38c2,000$757 inLost-$757.111850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes61c1,837$1,129 inWon+$708.592630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed No11c678.41$72 inLost-$72.02812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-48.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434f…7d13backed No35c400$140 inLost-$1401361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes60c287.3$173 inWon+$114.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…6bfebacked Yes70c274.99$192 inWon+$82.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f8…2544backed Yes67c148.41$100 inWon+$48.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x643b…cd1cbacked No23c145.83$33 inLost-$33.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e0…d60cbacked Yes69c135$93 inWon+$41.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes51c115.3$59 inWon+$56.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Yes65c100$65 inWon+$351546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No13c99.27$13 inLost-$12.6324642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8681…aa53backed No70c88$62 inLost-$61.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x748e…6eefbacked Yes63c79.82$50 inWon+$29.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked No51c73.31$38 inLost-$37.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes30c71$21 inWon+$49.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No53c66.57$36 inLost-$35.555238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e62…64a7backed No56c54.03$30 inLost-$30.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes38c47.43$18 inWon+$29.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2869…527dbacked No54c45$24 inLost-$24.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes63c43.35$27 inWon+$16.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf4…4fe5backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon+$11.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes76c26.41$20 inWon+$6.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed No66c21.26$14 inLost-$14.051323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d90…e1f6backed Yes65c20.21$13 inWon+$7.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x710f…634abacked Yes58c17.7$10 inWon+$7.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.