Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3498a5457a886878e8a02d2864158b17e1cf53832f080f50db23b280203cc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,187 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 18c | 2,591$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.58 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…755dbacked Yes | 25c | 431.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…4d66backed Yes | 8c | 321$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…6bfebacked Yes | 18c | 275$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…259dbacked Yes | 17c | 270.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked No | 79c | 229.65$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 48c | 207.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d0…513bbacked Yes | 21c | 177.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 51c | 166.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 14c | 104.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 16c | 66.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 64c | 35.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 76c | 34.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…d65bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…f2bdbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…487bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Angers finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Auxerre finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brest finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Le Havre finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Lens finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Lorient finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Nantes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Nice finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Paris St-Germain finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Toulouse finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.