Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc517ccc34b029c772292098316a06202f3e03f3d89df0927fd869137b753cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 69c | 1,026$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,017$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 31c | 1,009$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 10c | 454.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…aa41backed Yes | 52c | 247.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 69c | 219$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 27c | 147.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 31c | 123.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 103.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…de1abacked Yes | 16c | 95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 44c | 89.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…e4d0backed Yes | 56c | 83.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Yes | 49c | 60.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 58c | 54.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 31c | 54.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 23c | 51.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…c765backed Yes | 78c | 47.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 27c | 41.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd282…a206backed No | 56c | 40.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 38.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 42c | 34.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…04fabacked No | 74c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 72c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Yes | 61c | 21.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…b9f7backed No | 48c | 20.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…2131backed Yes | 60c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 70c | 16.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…6b0bbacked Yes | 69c | 15.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Angers finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Auxerre finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brest finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Le Havre finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Lens finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Lorient finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Nantes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Nice finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Paris St-Germain finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Toulouse finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.