Premier League · resolved market
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa41529e47395d8e020a43d60885424ca90fc46d5201430d9d5205913a861037e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 63c | 2,993$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 36c | 1,806$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.61 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 38c | 649.31$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.08 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 37c | 405.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…b547backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…d10abacked Yes | 63c | 159.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…a15abacked Yes | 66c | 151.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 34c | 144.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 52c | 132.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 56c | 82.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 36c | 82.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…2721backed No | 71c | 70.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 62c | 62.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fc…77afbacked Yes | 42c | 59.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…5767backed Yes | 57c | 52.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…d390backed Yes | 37c | 36.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 62c | 28.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 62c | 24.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…22ebbacked No | 52c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 55c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Jeremy Doku: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Omar Marmoush: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Phil Foden: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.