Premier League · resolved market
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24fb05d2e34829a30d27fc0cbae08fe5aa76421df8cf92d63db5bbab69b7130c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 33c | 14,390$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…6f7bbacked Yes | 66c | 6,784$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Yes | 68c | 6,736$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.04 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 35c | 2,433$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.33 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,960$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Yes | 67c | 1,453$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.01 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 32c | 1,323$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.9 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Yes | 69c | 660.4$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 34c | 505.41$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 66c | 350.06$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 33c | 306.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes | 69c | 271.43$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Yes | 68c | 259.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Yes | 63c | 146.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked No | 35c | 142.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 64c | 107.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 33c | 104.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Yes | 66c | 104.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Yes | 69c | 97.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Yes | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 24c | 51.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 37c | 46.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 32c | 46.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 44.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 68c | 43.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de8…824fbacked Yes | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Yes | 70c | 34.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 32c | 31.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 67c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed Yes | 76c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…90b7backed Yes | 76c | 22.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Yes | 65c | 21.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 69c | 14.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Jeremy Doku: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.