Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc8d26bd51f3f4d3345dbc3d9c07487b796d06edeae37be7e535157f1a13185c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 19,102$9,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,741.22 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 50c | 10,939$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,821$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 47c | 1,500$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.94 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 49c | 1,187$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,100$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 985.95$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.84 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Under | 49c | 530.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 269.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Over | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 49c | 101.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Under | 49c | 79.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 79.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…862abacked Under | 49c | 39.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 48c | 37.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.