TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c16,603$8,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,633.4269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under48c14,943$7,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,77525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over27c12,422$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.323,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under47c7,265$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.154949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over53c6,065$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.7117055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over53c4,586$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.613545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over25c4,198$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.613231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Under77c3,179$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.854841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.981,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,964$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over52c2,884$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.7814441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c2,550$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.12,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over53c2,544$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.943855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over21c2,489$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.546817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over47c2,090$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9884257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c1,867$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under53c1,820$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.4952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under47c1,753$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.5314338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,724$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.581,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,573$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c1,463$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.51,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over42c1,419$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.8317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c1,370$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.61,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over14c1,335$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6310239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over24c1,300$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9918844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c1,250$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under48c1,211$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.727054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over52c1,123$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.815545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under48c1,097$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa935…e865backed Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74f…a9cebacked Over10c982.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.27540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Under48c968.79$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.925850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under46c929.41$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8816743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over53c906.99$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…6db2backed Over55c884.83$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.491435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under47c876.22$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under76c873.01$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.816261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Over12c833$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.963444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under47c820.32$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.4516642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over24c809.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.241,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over53c777.44$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.049652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c741.75$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c659.86$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fc…41dfbacked Over53c616.08$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.522161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c583.8$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0932450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under40c570.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0620744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over24c563.35$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4626839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9116…a674backed Over54c530.17$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.29757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over6c517.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under47c499.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9911437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over58c495.83$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c493.51$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c484.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.571,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c464.36$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over40c442.26$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7145445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c399.63$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19421653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0e…6541backed Under48c377.43$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+71.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Over16c354.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.286543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under75c349.46$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4911873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f7…61cbbacked Under80c344.65$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Over31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.867936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over16c299.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.489654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c293$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.221,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under77c289.47$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.629558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Over6c286.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.951435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2566…03dcbacked Over4c284.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7728949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7726755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under40c254.76$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over14c244.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9466732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c238.87$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over38c230.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2425360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under50c227.52$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.049653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under72c225.4$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1818345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over50c223.1$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5525850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c214.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over22c214.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.182,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c205$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over53c201.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.95151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Over53c201.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.97548%36 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Over54c198.07$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.962352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under49c195.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over54c194.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0211156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1815055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c181.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.653,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.248540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Over54c180.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.236144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under47c171.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under48c159.45$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.914434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over53c147.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2929556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under48c135.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3210552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over51c133.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.945850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Under46c131.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.478457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over17c127.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over53c126.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1640548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c123.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.763,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under39c123.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.