TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over50c54,506$27,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,253.0615545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under49c27,214$13,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,879.3237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c13,541$6,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,770.621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c12,970$6,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,614.61,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over51c12,899$6,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,578.624134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under50c11,186$5,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,593.025935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under50c6,786$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.064264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c6,258$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ce…979fbacked Under50c4,850$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c3,795$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.3238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c3,705$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.767963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over8c3,355$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under50c2,246$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.1289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under47c2,069$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.6511153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over55c2,002$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.9493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under50c1,975$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.3417553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c1,780$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.8655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c1,673$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,552$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over5c1,322$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.671,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0e…6541backed Under50c1,160$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.06785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+71.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb4a…f216backed Under50c1,150$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under50c1,085$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.7111750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over10c1,054$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Under49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over51c760.68$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over53c746.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Under50c611.1$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.554944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Over51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.184665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over51c534.76$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.733243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Over27c437.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.015225%13 W · 39 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c380$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Under69c342.88$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.711963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.121,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over52c303.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over51c298.07$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.028850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.512851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over5c264.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c264$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c247.32$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under50c213.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.725850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8337…9aacbacked Over51c164.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Under47c164.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.342339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over20c143.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over51c131.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.834847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c129.21$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c124.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.121,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c120.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over34c116.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over51c109.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.697945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dc…5613backed Over51c106.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.531249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.57458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under73c96.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1312458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.533855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under60c88.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5910651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over53c83.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0621849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over53c83.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0621046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b2…3ebfbacked Under40c78.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.893036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over30c77.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1720558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf05…8b29backed Under50c69.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.42988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+52%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under58c67.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0615961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over51c64.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3356154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over53c61.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6514860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.125360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x322e…308ebacked Under49c54.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.923240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c51.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.471,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under67c51.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9514359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Over51c51.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.234551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e6…83a4backed Under50c50.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.258453.6%45 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279a…0ba9backed Over51c50.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a5…a850backed Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.254652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c40.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.661,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.416640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5520…6938backed Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47548%36 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under50c38.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.219150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4151946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.417741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4135551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under73c31.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6344347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under73c31.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Under50c30.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3711651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xede9…484dbacked Over53c29.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4512151.2%62 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73d…2e50backed Over51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563650%18 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf32c…c483backed Over51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…94cdbacked Over67c26.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over50c23.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6462546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under61c22.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7237665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4135…185fbacked Under49c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.413060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.