NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3431262c52d6efd87d0c9e87521e11d3a5a75fafe622f37953d416ac04d2d11b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 50c | 2,570$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.25 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 49c | 1,121$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.99 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 51c | 666.66$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed Under | 52c | 449.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +324.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 51c | 389.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 48c | 297.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 50c | 251.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Under | 55c | 192.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 51c | 133.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 100.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 82.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Over | 49c | 78.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 50c | 53.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Over | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 51c | 50.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 48.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Over | 50c | 38.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…7999backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Over | 50c | 26.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 51c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5this page
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.