Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e08246b728523183cbc2ace0a421719d4e88bd0bea50f5e674a025bd2341918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 11,291$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Over | 51c | 8,510$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.81 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 51c | 7,067$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.29 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 4,639$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 49c | 3,057$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.89 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,004$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…f503backed Under | 49c | 1,980$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 1,572$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.94 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 21c | 1,138$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 49c | 649.08$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.03 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 50c | 630$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 52c | 577.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 295.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Over | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 230.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 201.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…9906backed Under | 51c | 196.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Over | 51c | 165.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 146.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Under | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 50c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 51c | 44.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Under | 69c | 34.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…e3e9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 135.5this page
- Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon DucksMinnesota Golden Gophers won
- Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Oregon Ducks (-3.5)Minnesota Golden Gophers won
- Spread: Oregon Ducks (-4.5)Minnesota Golden Gophers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.