NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760c20e953063de5de1168c7f708194582e40953fb35854e3dba030551800ec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 35c | 2,786$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.27 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 2,680$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.17 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 26c | 1,145$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.24 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 76c | 699.99$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 697.01$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.04 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 683.43$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 21c | 510$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 47c | 298.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 23c | 282.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…00e3backed Over | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Under | 48c | 258.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 67c | 254.85$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 56c | 252$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 15c | 250.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 63c | 222.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Over | 50c | 197$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Over | 54c | 179.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 67c | 157$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 156.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 151$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…c324backed Under | 32c | 144.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…18fdbacked Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 22c | 107$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 27c | 102.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Under | 61c | 93.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 78c | 90.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Under | 63c | 79.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 74c | 60.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 73c | 59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…92d2backed Over | 78c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 32c | 48.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 49c | 42.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8e1dbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…b955backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 77c | 28.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Over | 69c | 25.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Over | 40c | 24.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 59c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 69c | 23.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…1487backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 77c | 16.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e26…2363backed Over | 78c | 15.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5this page
- Bruins vs. SabresBruins won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.