South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85cfc9394e6fd00e3a89b035316741c987ca834dde71ad1ff036f1f6678ab0d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 7,241$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.39 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 48c | 5,489$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.06 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 3,445$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 2,416$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.54 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,117$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 980.15$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.9 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 523.64$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.96 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 486$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 55c | 266.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Under | 42c | 207.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 17c | 206.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.72 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 65c | 174.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 10c | 170.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 31c | 159.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Under | 25c | 115.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 69c | 114.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 80c | 111.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 41c | 106.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 55c | 93.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…0b75backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 73.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Under | 67c | 66.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 44c | 66.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 52c | 64.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 43c | 64.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Under | 52c | 63.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 56c | 52.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 33c | 49.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 34c | 47.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 46.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 59c | 45.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…b27bbacked Under | 57c | 42.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 28c | 41.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 61c | 40.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 55c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 69c | 33.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 53c | 30.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…31b5backed Over | 37c | 28.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…c31fbacked Over | 69c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 79c | 28.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 42c | 27.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Under | 52c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Under | 52c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 61c | 22.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 69c | 20.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…229abacked Under | 73c | 19.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 18.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.