South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c552ceaa76c573713dd53ba7ebf013e503d85239ae9474245922dd2fffb8c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 71c | 5,054$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.81 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 67c | 2,694$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.19 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 73c | 2,427$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 2,357$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,686$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 55c | 1,537$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.48 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.97 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 1,316$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.41 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 1,028$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 679$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 29c | 661.58$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 447.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 51c | 299.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 68c | 246.85$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 231.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 73c | 222.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 206.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 30c | 204.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 72c | 196.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Under | 29c | 194.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 72c | 176.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 146.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 39c | 137.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Over | 53c | 134.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 56c | 105.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Over | 45c | 92.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Under | 39c | 89.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 77.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 71c | 66.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 48c | 64.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed Under | 31c | 58.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 39c | 58.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 58c | 53.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Under | 22c | 49.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 29c | 46.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 31c | 45.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 45c | 43.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 42.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 37c | 41.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 34c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 70c | 38.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 37.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…a1ecbacked Under | 30c | 36.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 35c | 30.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 39c | 30.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Under | 52c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 60c | 24.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…25b5backed Over | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 23.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 70c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 63c | 20.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0911backed Over | 69c | 19.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 69c | 18.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 70c | 17.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 72c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 70c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.